Research Index

ECLAC reports that the region implemented 73% of the core measures in the 2025 UN Global Survey on Digital and Sustainable Trade Facilitation, slightly above the global average and 5.9 percentage points above 2023. Progress was led by paperless and cross-border digital trade measures, but greater subregional coordination remains a priority.

The IMF finds that repeated external shocks have widened fiscal deficits and pushed public debt to unsustainable levels. The report focuses on restoring fiscal sustainability while addressing high living costs, weak growth, and financial-sector vulnerabilities.

The IMF credits the BERT programme with strengthening macroeconomic stability, rebuilding reserves, and putting public debt on a downward path. It also reviews the authorities' request for a precautionary Stand-By Arrangement and the next phase of fiscal and climate-resilience reforms.

CDB reports US$464.6 million in project approvals during 2025 and reviews its investments in infrastructure, climate action, education, and private-sector development across its borrowing members. The report also covers the Bank's financial performance, resource mobilization, risk management, and audited statements.

The IMF finds a slow recovery supported by non-energy activity, low inflation, and a sound banking system, but notes weaker external and fiscal positions as energy revenues decline. It recommends fiscal consolidation, measures to stem capital outflows, and a gradual move toward greater exchange-rate flexibility.

The IMF reports continued economic expansion and easing inflation, alongside a decline in the public-debt ratio from its pandemic peak. Significant arrears, high financing needs, and weaker Citizenship-by-Investment revenue remain central fiscal risks.

The IMF expects growth to recover in 2026, but warns that lower Citizenship-by-Investment revenue, large fiscal and current-account deficits, and reduced buffers constrain the policy response to shocks. It calls for continued fiscal consolidation, stronger fiscal rules, renewable-energy investment, and labour-market reforms.

CDB estimates that regional growth excluding Guyana slowed to 0.6% in 2025 and projects a modest recovery to 1.1% in 2026. The report examines growth, inflation, fiscal and debt performance, external balances, financial stability, and the implementation deficits constraining long-run development.

The IMF assesses the Western Hemisphere's exposure to the 2026 energy and food-price shock, distinguishing gains for large oil exporters from the pressures facing import-dependent economies with high debt or limited reserves. It argues for targeted support to vulnerable households while preserving scarce fiscal space.

The World Bank projects Latin America and the Caribbean to grow 2.1% in 2026 as high borrowing costs, weak external demand, and uncertainty weigh on investment and job creation. It argues that skills, finance, trade integration, and institutional capacity are prerequisites for productivity-enhancing industrial policy.

The IMF says Suriname must rebuild fiscal and monetary discipline while preparing institutions to manage a prospective oil boom. It warns that policy slippages in 2025 raised inflation and weakened the currency, despite strong gold prices and an improved medium-term resource outlook.

The IMF finds that tourism and construction have supported a solid recovery and improving fiscal balances, while public debt remains elevated. Priorities include additional fiscal measures, stronger public-sector and financial reporting, electricity reform, and greater resilience to natural disasters.

The IMF finds Grenada's economy resilient after Hurricane Beryl, supported by reconstruction, investment, and tourism. Savings from Citizenship-by-Investment revenue and contingent financing have preserved fiscal space, though natural disasters, external demand, and large current-account deficits remain key risks.

ECLAC reviews Caribbean economic performance in 2023 and the first months of 2024 across growth, fiscal and debt conditions, monetary policy and prices, and the external sector. The study provides a subregional macroeconomic assessment rather than a single-country outlook.

The IMF expects growth to settle near 2% as tourism reaches capacity constraints and commodity prices ease. It calls for additional fiscal consolidation, better access to finance, structural reforms, and stronger resilience to natural disasters to keep debt declining.

The IMF credits Jamaica's fiscal, monetary, and institutional reforms with increasing resilience to shocks, but identifies low productivity and persistent supply-side constraints as barriers to faster growth. Recommended reforms include a clearer debt anchor, stronger monetary transmission, deeper foreign-exchange markets, and continued financial-stability work.

The IMF projects continued growth from tourism and development investment, but warns that public debt remains high and disaster risks are substantial. It recommends stronger fiscal consolidation, better financial-sector oversight, and institutional reforms to improve policy execution and resilient growth.

The IMF describes an exceptionally strong outlook driven by rapidly expanding oil production, robust non-oil activity, and major public investment. It stresses that a medium-term fiscal framework, strong governance of resource wealth, and close monitoring of inflation and absorptive capacity are essential for inclusive and stable growth.

The IMF finds that tourism, construction, and manufacturing completed St. Lucia's post-pandemic recovery, but expects growth to slow as major projects mature. High debt rollover needs, investment delays, climate exposure, and limited fiscal space remain the principal risks.

The IMF assesses Haiti's outlook as exceptionally uncertain amid overlapping security, humanitarian, social, and economic crises. The report prioritizes zero monetary financing of the budget, stronger revenue and expenditure controls, protection of social spending, and more timely and transparent economic data.

The October 2024 WEO finds global growth stable but historically weak, with continued disinflation creating room for a monetary-policy pivot. It warns that geopolitical conflict, financial-market volatility, protectionism, and fiscal vulnerabilities leave risks tilted to the downside.

The World Bank's country brief reviews Trinidad and Tobago's post-pandemic recovery and the contrast between resilient non-energy activity and weakness in hydrocarbons. It places the near-term outlook in the context of fiscal pressures, exposure to energy prices, and the need for reforms that support more broad-based growth.

CDB's annual report reviews its 2023 operations and financial performance alongside the Caribbean economic outlook. It covers development results across social, production, environmental, financial, and institutional resilience, as well as risk management and audited financial statements.

The IMF assesses Trinidad and Tobago as undergoing a gradual recovery led by the non-energy sector, with low inflation and adequate international reserves. It recommends maintaining reform momentum, strengthening fiscal and foreign-exchange policy frameworks, and accelerating diversification and the low-carbon transition.

The World Bank's country brief reviews Guyana's oil-led expansion, the government's investment programme, and the importance of managing petroleum resources for inclusive growth. It also highlights how limited recent poverty and equity data constrain the design and monitoring of poverty-reduction policy.

The IMF finds that rapid oil production and public investment are transforming Guyana's economy, while warning that the pace of spending must remain consistent with absorptive capacity and macroeconomic stability. The report recommends a medium-term fiscal framework, continued financial-sector vigilance, and reforms that support diversification and inclusive growth.